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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
Moderator

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1023
Loc: Texas

Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic
Mon Sep 04 2006 10:30 PM

13.5N 47W is about where I would peg the old 98L and yes, I was just getting around to posting on this, myself -- I do believe that the combined synergy of shear from the upper-level trof to Six's north, and a still relatively intact 98L to it's southwest, has really taken a bite out of Six today. Meanwhile, in response to a weakening Six -- and also having the benefit of far less shear, 98L appears to be staging a comeback. If current trends continue I would say that 98L has a fair chance of TCing by sunrise.

Six very nearly devolved into a wave this afternoon, despite an earlier appearance of a marginal TS and Current Intensities of 2.5 from just about all if not all agencies (as far as I have checked so far, Six did attain 2.5 from them all at one point). I was so very close to writing Six off for the evening (with the knowledge that it could revive, of course) when all of the sudden we are getting a blowup of deep convection near it's center -- which, I would still have to say is north of where NHC pegs it to be --- again, Six has had multiple cocs over the course of it's existence, but you can't really say that 98L is one of them. 98L is it's own entity --- frankly, 98L has been a weak, sub-TD tropical cyclone, already. I say sub-TD tropical cyclone, because it certainly wasn't a wave, has had a surface cyclone all along (and pressure estimated to be about 1008mb) and winds in the 20-25mph range. Just sub TD status, but then got upstaged and interrupted by 90.

Moving on to some other features - the feature to the east of 90L really should have been tagged as 91 for some time now, imho. At least NHC does mention that some slow development is possible with this Low. Additional slow development may also occur with the grab bag of features in the Gulf of Mexico/northwestern Caribbean. Have two surface trofs interacting with various waves and all getting some kick from a stationary ULL that is just weak-enough as to not be producing hellacious shear -- shear just barely low enough to perhaps allow slow tropical cyclogenesis to take place.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	MikeC	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:30 PM
new thread	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 05 2006 05:50 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	allan	Tue Sep 05 2006 05:28 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	SebastianLou	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:45 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	seminolesfan	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:44 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	weather_wise911	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:41 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	weather_wise911	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:39 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	Lee-Delray	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:38 PM
Re: Florence is looking better...but behind Flo....	Sheeper	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:24 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	allan	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:10 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	Ed in Va	Tue Sep 05 2006 04:02 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	doug	Tue Sep 05 2006 03:48 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	sara33	Tue Sep 05 2006 03:48 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	tpratch	Tue Sep 05 2006 03:25 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	meto23	Tue Sep 05 2006 03:16 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	doug	Tue Sep 05 2006 03:00 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	Ed in Va	Tue Sep 05 2006 02:33 PM
Re: Florence is looking better	Myles	Tue Sep 05 2006 01:52 PM
Florence is looking better	DrewC	Tue Sep 05 2006 01:42 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	typhoon_tip	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:48 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:46 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:38 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	madmumbler	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:37 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Lee-Delray	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:26 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Psyber	Tue Sep 05 2006 11:21 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	madmumbler	Tue Sep 05 2006 10:02 AM
Re: florence fishing? or coming further west...?	JOC	Tue Sep 05 2006 08:47 AM
florence fishing? or coming further west...?	HanKFranK	Tue Sep 05 2006 02:48 AM
Good Discussion here, much to choose from re: td 6	LoisCane	Tue Sep 05 2006 12:20 AM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Storm Cooper	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:32 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:30 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	weather_wise911	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:19 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	TD06	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:17 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	BillD	Mon Sep 04 2006 09:01 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	seminolesfan	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:48 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:42 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Hugh	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:33 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:30 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Hugh	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:17 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Myles	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:14 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Ed Dunham	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:13 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Hugh	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:05 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	seminolesfan	Mon Sep 04 2006 08:01 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Hugh	Mon Sep 04 2006 07:04 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	Myles	Mon Sep 04 2006 06:49 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 04 2006 06:15 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	rmbjoe1954	Mon Sep 04 2006 05:24 PM
Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	LaVidaCyclone	Mon Sep 04 2006 05:02 PM
so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5	LoisCane	Mon Sep 04 2006 04:53 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	ElizabethH	Mon Sep 04 2006 04:04 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	GuppieGrouper	Mon Sep 04 2006 04:02 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	Ryan	Mon Sep 04 2006 03:25 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	Hugh	Mon Sep 04 2006 03:18 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	rmbjoe1954	Mon Sep 04 2006 02:42 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 04 2006 01:53 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	TD06	Mon Sep 04 2006 01:44 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	scottsvb	Mon Sep 04 2006 12:47 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	craigm	Mon Sep 04 2006 11:47 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	rmbjoe1954	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:39 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	LoisCane	Mon Sep 04 2006 10:00 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 04 2006 09:21 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	rmbjoe1954	Mon Sep 04 2006 06:00 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	nl	Mon Sep 04 2006 05:44 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	dhsfireman	Mon Sep 04 2006 04:23 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	ltpat228	Mon Sep 04 2006 04:03 AM
Primary LLC and Track	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2006 01:48 AM
Re: Hey Tip...	HanKFranK	Mon Sep 04 2006 01:17 AM
Re: Hey Tip...	dem05	Mon Sep 04 2006 12:55 AM
Re: Hey Tip...	hurricaneguy	Mon Sep 04 2006 12:13 AM
Re: Hey Tip...	rosehill	Mon Sep 04 2006 12:00 AM
Re: Hey Tip...	ElizabethH	Sun Sep 03 2006 10:44 PM
Hey Tip...	LoisCane	Sun Sep 03 2006 10:34 PM
Re: Thanks Ed. Models called this last week..it's not a surprise.	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:43 PM
Re: they mention timing....	Storm Cooper	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:38 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:34 PM
Re: they mention timing....	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:33 PM
they mention timing....	LoisCane	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:31 PM
Re: Thanks Ed. Models called this last week..it's not a surprise.	ElizabethH	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:28 PM
Thanks Ed. Models called this last week..it's not a surprise.	LoisCane	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:19 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:07 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	inHISgrip	Sun Sep 03 2006 09:02 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	hornedcow	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:55 PM
Re: TD6	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:36 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:32 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	dkblostnottinghamsmoney	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:29 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	BillD	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:16 PM
TD6	NewWatcher	Sun Sep 03 2006 08:08 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	madmumbler	Sun Sep 03 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Sun Sep 03 2006 07:47 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean & TD #6 in Central Atlantic	BillD	Sun Sep 03 2006 07:46 PM
TD6...maybe an east coast swell maker?	richisurfs	Sun Sep 03 2006 06:43 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	craigm	Sun Sep 03 2006 06:22 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Ryan	Sun Sep 03 2006 05:56 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Sun Sep 03 2006 05:12 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Sun Sep 03 2006 05:09 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Sun Sep 03 2006 04:44 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Bee-Beep	Sun Sep 03 2006 04:35 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Rabbit	Sun Sep 03 2006 04:14 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Jamiewx	Sun Sep 03 2006 03:47 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Sun Sep 03 2006 03:32 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	leetdan	Sun Sep 03 2006 02:59 PM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	craigm	Sun Sep 03 2006 02:37 PM
Re: Between a rock and a hard place	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 03 2006 01:59 PM
Re: Between a rock and a hard place	harmlc.ath.cx	Sun Sep 03 2006 01:42 PM
Between a rock and a hard place	Clark	Sun Sep 03 2006 11:55 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	madmumbler	Sun Sep 03 2006 11:25 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	tornado00	Sun Sep 03 2006 11:05 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	Josh Delsman	Sun Sep 03 2006 11:01 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Sun Sep 03 2006 10:57 AM
Re: Watching System in Eastern Caribbean	tornado00	Sun Sep 03 2006 10:38 AM

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