Central Florida Hurricane Center 2012

Update - Monday - 5:30PM
Tropical Storm Gordon has formed in the Atlantic, east of the Caribbean. It is forecast to move away from land and be yet another fish spinner. Florence has passed west of Bermuda and is moving further north now.

Update - Monday - 1130AM
Hurricane Florence now passing northwest of Bermuda moving to the north northeast with maximum sustained winds of 90mph. As noted by the NHC, an elevated location on Bermuda reported a wind gust to 111mph. At 0955EDT, Hamilton reported a wind gust to 83mph with sustained winds out of the south at 66mph.

Tropical Depression #7 continues to slowly organize in the central Atlantic - sustained winds are now about 35mph.
ED

1120PM EDT Sunday Update
NHC has upgraded 93L to Tropical Deprssion 7 at 11PM EDT. Estimated Min, Pressure of 1012mb, and winds of 30mph. TD 7 is expected to drift westward near 6mph for the next 24 hours. The current models aren't initalizing the Depression and extended forecasts are "in the wind".

Hurricane Florence is appearing a bit more ragged on satellite imagery than earlier. Otherwise no change at this time. (From the 11 PM EDT Discussion.)
~danielw

Update - Sunday - 2:30PM
Hurricane Florence now has sustained winds of 80 knots and is beginning to move in a more northerly direction.

Current Weather in Bermuda

Invest 93L has been reinstated and was located near 19.2N 54.2W at 10/18Z. System is moving to the west or just north of due west and is still impressive.
ED

Update - Sunday 12:19PM
not related to the hurricane, but a 6.0 earthquake happened in the Gulf of Mexico today, and I felt it here in Orlando around 10:56 Am. 251 Miles off Bradenton Beach in the Gulf.

More info here

Report what you felt Here Discussion about it Here

Update - Sunday - 7AM
Hurricane Florence near 28N 66W at 10/10Z or about 300 miles south of Bermuda moving to the north northwest at 15mph with sustained winds of 80mph and a central pressure of 976mb. Florence is expected to move north, then north northeast and pass close to Bermuda. A Hurricane Warning has been posted for Bermuda.

Former Invest 93L (previously known as 91L), located well to the east southeast of Florence, has been dropped as an area of interest, however, this system looks better than it has in days and may already be close to Tropical Depression status. The system was located near 19N 53W at 10/10Z with excellent convection and developing banding features.

A large well-formed African wave was located near 10N 10W at 10/10Z (now thats a lot of 10's) and it will be exiting the west coast of Africa on Monday. This system has excellent potential for further development by mid-week.

Another large wave is located over Africa near 10N 15E at 10/09Z - certainly evidence that the peak of the season has arrived.
ED

Original Post
Satellite estimates indicated Tropical Storm Florence was probably a Category 1 Hurricane prior to the arrival of Air Force Reserve Recon Aircraft. However, NHC decided to hold back on the upgrade until Recon data was received.

Hurricane Florence

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot
Animated Model Plot
SFWMD Model Plot
Google Map Plot of System
More model runs on from Jonathan Vigh's page
Visible Satellite Floater
IR
Animated Floater with overlays
More Satellite Images of Florence

93L (Eastern Atlantic wave):

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot
Animated Model Plot
SFWMD Model Plot
More model runs on from Jonathan Vigh's page

Edited by MikeC (Mon Sep 11 2006 05:38 PM)

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