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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Quiet Time Interrupted?
      Sun Oct 29 2006 09:16 AM

hmm... things look dead as can be, then a new invest pops up. fairly vigorous wave and a good amount of vorticity to it... maybe not a completely closed surface low, though. there also appears to be some anticyclonic curvature to the winds aloft, with the stronger shear removed northward. east of it on a stalled/dying frontal zone is another convective flare on the coast of honduras, which is more or less stationary and probably defines the furthest west extent to which the other could track, as the westerly winds are not far to the north and west. like some of the models have been suggesting, the big high in the east has synoptically forced pressure falls in the caribbean, and lighter winds aloft have allowed it to provide some support to the wave and frontal remnant. if the region can squeeze anything out it will likely struggle slowly northwestward or northward until the next trough dips down and carries it out northeast.. maybe just stall a bit too as the upper ridge to the northeast flattens and leaves it in a weak steering regime. in the meanwhile it could mean quite a bit of rain for hispaniola, jamaica, and parts of cuba. right now it's sort of in a steady state, needing strong convection to persist near the center of the low pressure area to bring it up to tropical cyclone standards. not likely any kind of u.s. threat, but maybe a rainy last event for the tropics this year in parts of the caribbean.
HF 1416z29october

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Quiet Time Interrupted? Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Oct 29 2006 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Tak   Fri Nov 03 2006 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? cieldumort   Fri Nov 03 2006 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Storm Cooper   Thu Nov 02 2006 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Clark   Thu Nov 02 2006 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Storm Cooper   Thu Nov 02 2006 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? allan   Thu Nov 02 2006 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? dem05   Thu Nov 02 2006 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? scottsvb   Thu Nov 02 2006 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? GuppieGrouper   Thu Nov 02 2006 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Clark   Thu Nov 02 2006 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? dem05   Thu Nov 02 2006 05:45 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? dem05   Thu Nov 02 2006 03:57 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Clark   Wed Nov 01 2006 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Cat 5orBust   Wed Nov 01 2006 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Lee-Delray   Wed Nov 01 2006 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? cieldumort   Wed Nov 01 2006 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? SebastianLou   Tue Oct 31 2006 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? ltpat228   Tue Oct 31 2006 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Storm Cooper   Tue Oct 31 2006 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? allan   Tue Oct 31 2006 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Cat 5orBust   Mon Oct 30 2006 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? dem05   Mon Oct 30 2006 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? doug   Mon Oct 30 2006 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? dem05   Sun Oct 29 2006 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? HanKFranK   Sun Oct 29 2006 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? madmumbler   Sat Oct 28 2006 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? allan   Sat Oct 28 2006 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? Clark   Fri Oct 27 2006 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Time Interrupted? cieldumort   Fri Oct 27 2006 08:34 PM

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