MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico
Fri Jun 01 2007 06:04 PM
|
|
|
10AM Saturday Update
Tropical Storm Barry looked more subtropical for a time last night, however, the low level circulation center has remained intact and convection is again beginning to build just north of the center. Barry is now moving northeast at about 15mph and the storm should make landfall in the Tampa Bay area prior to 11am. Barry will move across the state taking a northeast to north northeast direction with an increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds near the center are 45 to 50mph and the storm is likely to maintain winds of 35 to 40mph near the center as it crosses the Florida peninsula.
A developing feeder band extending south from the center will move across the peninsula and bring a threat for strong thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes later this afternoon. A Tornado Watch is in effect until 3pm.
During the night a strong convective cell move along and just inland of the Florida east coast from Ft Pierce northward and produced some significant rainfall with storm totals (through 02/12Z) of 4.65 inches at Satellite Beach and 6.00 inches at the Melbourne NWS.
ED
7:30AM June 2 update
The center of Barry is still offshore, southwest of Tampa. And the forecast track has moved to the right, now landfall should be north of Tampa. Most of the rain is to the North and Northeast of the center, so Central Florida has seen most of the heaviest of the rain it will get already. However, a Tornado watch remains up until 3 PM today for much of the area.
The big Bend of Florida and Northern Florida will continue to get heavy rain for a few more hours.
Convection surprisingly fired up a bit more this morning near the center, but the low level center is likely to fall apart very quickly as the rest of the convection races across. Similar to Alberto.
Let us know conditions in your area here
7:20PM update
Recon reports pressure drop to 997mb. Range of 50-60MPH winds. Strongest winds are on the western side of the convection though. Interesting to see how much longer it can hold together at this strength. The pressure dropping trend seems to be at halt,since soon after that recon report it appeared that convection was starting to fall off.
6:55PM update
Indications are that the northeastern movement (along the path of the cloud blow off) is occurring earlier than expected, likely making the landfall point a bit more east. But in such a storm, it won't make much difference.
Barry does have a lot of lightning associated with it (See map), which is unusual for a Tropical Storm.
Original Update
Tropical Storm Barry has formed in the Gulf of Mexico 320 miles southwest of Tampa, FL.
Tropical Storm warnings are up for the Florida west coast from Bonita Beach up to Keaton Beach.
Recon aircraft found around 1000mb of pressure earlier, and found a pressure of 1000mb, and with a slightly strengthening system, it was enough to classify it as a Tropical Storm. The second of 2007, on the first day of the season.
More recent recon has found a slightly stronger system with 998mb of pressure. Equates to roughly 50-55MPH (in better conditions maybe even 60MPH) winds. Tornadoes may be caused by this system. See the local storm statements. The system may strengthen just a bit more, but most of the convection is getting blown off to the northeast, sending most of the rain to Florida (and we can use it).
As for impact,
o Flood preparedness
o Tornado awareness
o Basic essentials for power failure
are the big three for Barry. Other than some beach erosion, surge will fairly low impact. Wind will be gusty near the core and where heavier convective elements transfer some of that flight level momentum into the boundary layer. Otherwise, not a very big concern there either.
The heaviest rain for Central Florida will be between 3AM and 3PM tomorrow.
Barry will be interesting once it crosses Florida and interact with the dynamics of a trough amplification. It should be well involved with cyclone phase transition at that time.
Long Term flhurricane radar recording of Barry
More to come soon...
Hurricane City is doing thier kickoff storm broadcast tonight at 8.
Earlier Update
The 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins today, and we are watching a system in the western Caribbean that may bring rain to Florida.
The system still isn't likely to develop much, if at all, as conditions for it doing so are becoming more hostile.
See Clark's blog below for more information about this system.
Although we always hope for another inactive season, this year is expected to be an above average year for storms, so it could get busy. Normally June is a slow month, as the season really doesn't start to get going until August.
Flhurricane is a non-profit site, but still requires resources to run, we emphasize quality information over quantity, and focus on the information with an outlet for communication. We do not celebrate the arrival of hurricanes or hurricane season, as the point is to help keep people informed and encourage using multiple sources of information to help make decisions, always preferring the use of official sources over unofficial ones.
If you would like to donate to help out, please see the [[Site_Donations_and_Thanks|Donations and Thanks]] Page for more information.
Storm Names for 2007 are
{{2007StormNames}}
Andrea, a preseason Subtropical Storm, has already formed, so the next system will be the "B" system.
For Floridians, a sales tax holiday begins today and lasts until midnight on June 12th, you can get the following hurricane related items sans sales tax in this time:
{{HurricaneTaxFreeItems}}
The east pacific already has Barbara, will the Atlantic catch up with another early storm? It may not wind up being purely tropical.
{{StormLinks|Barry|02|2|2007|2|Barry}}
Radar Loops
{{radarlink|byx|Key West, FL}}
{{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}}
{{radarlink|tbw|Tampa Bay/Ruskin, FL}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne, FL}}
{{radarlink|tlh|Tallahassee, FL}}
{{radarlink|evx|Northwest, FL}}
Lightning Strike Map
Rainbow Enhancement GOM and W Caribbean
Main Page for the SSD satellite products is here.
NOAA SSD Tropical Satellite Page
More on the [[Links]] page
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jun 02 2007 10:10 AM)
|
|
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Edit
Reply
Quote
