11:00 PM EDT Update 21 September 2007 TD 10 drifted inland near Fort Walton Beach earlier this evening - currently in the western Florida Panhandle near 30.6N 87.1W at 22/03Z with minimal convection. NHC has issued its last advisory on this system.
Not much else out there at the moment, however, Africa looks quite active again, so maybe a wave or two in a week or two. ED
2:00 PM EDT Update 21 September 2007 Sub Tropical Depression 10 has become fully tropical and is now being tracked as Tropical Depression #10. The Tropical Storm Warnings remain the same. It is likely that TD#10 will become Tropical Storm Jerry later this afternoon.
Those in the area near there should expect some rain (although not all too much judged on radar), and some winds, along with the possibility for tornadic activity.
11:00 AM EDT Update 21 September 2007 Subtropical Depression #10 is formed, it's moving to the Northwest at 8mph. It is expected to become a Subtropical Storm later before landfall. Current projections take it into the Mississippi Coastline as a Subtropical or Tropical Storm.
Tropical Storm Warnings are up from Apalachicola in Florida westward to the mouth of the Mississippi river.
This depression should move slowly to the northwest and west northwest over the next couple of days while attaining minimal tropical storm strength.
10:50 AM EDT Update 21 September 2007 93L Has become a Subtropical Depression, advisories to begin at 11 AM EDT.
6:50 AM EDT Update 21 September 2007
The disturbance known as 93L is off the Florida Panhandle and now looks like it may make landfall in the northern Gulf Coast. It may become a tropical or subtropical storm today (at any time according the the Hurricane Center), and if so tropical storm warnings and watches may likely be issued. Areas in the panhandle are already experiencing squally weather, and even some tornadoes spawned in the bands of the system (even ones further away like the one that tore through Eustis in Central Florida last night).
Because of the hybrid nature of this storm, it will be a day of "weird" weather up in the Panhandle.
Outside of an area near Bermuda, there isn't much worth talking about right now. The western Caribbean has a good amount of convection, but nothing organized at all, and conditions there now aren't too good for development. So that system likely will not develop anytime soon if at all, Ingrid remnants are no more, and the Central Atlantic is a bit too hostile for development right now. So for the near term, other than 93L things look good for no development at least the first half of the weekend!
Original Update The surface low associated with 93L, which moved over central Florida last night, is now in the Gulf, and may have a chance to form over the next day or so in the gulf. The system is looking more potentially subtropical at the moment, as it moves gradually westward.
Conditions are there for some development, but as it is a rather spread out system with little to no convection around the surface low (There is around the upper level low, however). The current setup allows more for subtropical development than purely tropical. However tropical or subtropical development could still happen by the weekend, as the Gulf sometimes can be unpredictable intensity wise. So those in the Central and Western Gulf will want to keep track of any developments.
Right now nothing indicates any rapid intensification, so the Gulf, especially central to western Gulf will want to watch this system to see how much development that may occur. The system is likely to be more a rain maker than anything else. And for that, rain to the north of the system is more likely.
Most of the rain yesterday was in Northern and Central Florida.
The remnant of Ingrid kicked up some yesterday, but still conditions out there are hostile for redevelopment, and its not expected for Ingrid to regenerate.
Outside of these areas there really isn't much going on right now, hopefully that will continue.
Radar Loops Central Gulf Radar Composite Loop {{radarlink|tbw|Tampa Bay, FL Radar}} {{radarlink|tlh|Tallahassee, FL Radar}} {{radarlink|evx|Western Florida Panhandle, Radar}} {{radarlink|mob|Mobile, AL Radar}} {{radarlink|lix|New Orleans, LA Radar}}
{{StormCarib}} {{StormLinks|94L|94|11|2007|1|94L (W Caribbean Wave)}}
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