Couple of things before I get emails about Allan's post. Karen is holding just below hurricane strength. The chances of Karen not affecting land are about 90%. And I'm seriously doubting Karen will hold together all that long either, it may remain strong for a few days, but it will start to hit some serious shear down the road which will likely tear it apart. Track wise, Karen is to the right (north) of the projected NHC track (and the GFDL) now, so if anything it would move further east/north.
This is the forecast lounge, and people can post here without too much worry, but I have to remind people here that the chances of Karen affecting land are so minimal that it's not worth alarming anyone. It's important to take the approach of why something won't affect land or strengthen then why, it's when those reasons start to drop out you start to be concerned. And right now the chances of something wild like Karen moving west are so vastly outnumbered by the reasons it would not that there is no point in creating "storm fatigue" with folks with yet another storm that doesn't do much.
The front page has a few links at the bottom that have places that like to hype up everything if you are looking for that, but I believe doing so here is counter productive.
Note that I don't mean not watch Karen or discuss things, but I think casually mentioning to someone who isn't into tracking storms "Watch out for Karen! LoL!" is more than a little misleading.
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