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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 2969
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?
      Wed Sep 26 2007 02:50 PM

Couple of things before I get emails about Allan's post. Karen is holding just below hurricane strength. The chances of Karen not affecting land are about 90%. And I'm seriously doubting Karen will hold together all that long either, it may remain strong for a few days, but it will start to hit some serious shear down the road which will likely tear it apart. Track wise, Karen is to the right (north) of the projected NHC track (and the GFDL) now, so if anything it would move further east/north.

This is the forecast lounge, and people can post here without too much worry, but I have to remind people here that the chances of Karen affecting land are so minimal that it's not worth alarming anyone. It's important to take the approach of why something won't affect land or strengthen then why, it's when those reasons start to drop out you start to be concerned. And right now the chances of something wild like Karen moving west are so vastly outnumbered by the reasons it would not that there is no point in creating "storm fatigue" with folks with yet another storm that doesn't do much.

The front page has a few links at the bottom that have places that like to hype up everything if you are looking for that, but I believe doing so here is counter productive.

Note that I don't mean not watch Karen or discuss things, but I think casually mentioning to someone who isn't into tracking storms "Watch out for Karen! LoL!" is more than a little misleading.


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Karen Lounge Hurricane29 Wed Sep 26 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall allan   Sat Sep 29 2007 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall TampaRand   Sat Sep 29 2007 06:46 PM
. * * Is Karen gone for good? Rasvar   Mon Oct 01 2007 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Is Karen gone for good? weathernet   Mon Oct 01 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall allan   Sat Sep 29 2007 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Discussion Excerpts allan   Thu Sep 27 2007 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? allan   Wed Sep 26 2007 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 26 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? jbmusic   Wed Sep 26 2007 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? TampaRand   Thu Sep 27 2007 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 27 2007 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? Cat 5orBust   Thu Sep 27 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 27 2007 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? WeatherNut   Thu Sep 27 2007 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane? MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 28 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm karen soon to be hurricane? saluki   Fri Sep 28 2007 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... spinup   Sun Sep 23 2007 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... weathernet   Sun Sep 23 2007 09:36 PM
. * * Clarification Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Clarification MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Clarification Robbissimo   Mon Sep 24 2007 08:57 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... weathernet   Sun Sep 23 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... BillD   Sun Sep 23 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... cieldumort   Sun Sep 23 2007 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... weathernet   Sun Sep 23 2007 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... srquirrely   Mon Sep 24 2007 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... weathernet   Mon Sep 24 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... doug   Mon Sep 24 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... spinup   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... punkyg   Mon Sep 24 2007 01:01 PM
. * * looks like a TD to me at the least LoisCane   Mon Sep 24 2007 02:12 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least cieldumort   Mon Sep 24 2007 07:37 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least cieldumort   Mon Sep 24 2007 08:47 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 08:52 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least weathernet   Mon Sep 24 2007 10:10 PM
. * * Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least punkyg   Mon Sep 24 2007 09:00 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least M.A.   Mon Sep 24 2007 02:42 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least weathernet   Mon Sep 24 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: looks like a TD to me at the least MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L off the african coast.... allan   Mon Sep 24 2007 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L of the african coast.... MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L of the african coast.... WeatherNut   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L of the african coast.... punkyg   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96l of the african coast.... punkyg   Sun Sep 23 2007 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96l of the african coast.... allan   Sun Sep 23 2007 09:47 AM

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