i brought up a point last year about the local meteorologists on t.v. in south florida and how they present information regarding storms. i have to bring it up once again because it bothers me a little bit in how they provide the information. with regards to karen, when this developed several days ago each met posted the cone on tv and all said that it will turn out in the atlantic and not be a threat to any land which based on the information at that time was true. today we have several of the reliable models with yet another shift to the west with the ecmwf, ukmet, and cmc among others bringing what as of today looks like a pretty strong hurricane towards south florida. now obviously these can change drastically over the next week as well and that is IF karen even survives the shear. my beef with the mets is that when you have a storm so far out and litereally 2 weeks away at the time karen was born, dont come out and say it will not pose any threat to florida or any landmass. we all know that patterns change all the time and you cant base any future forecast on something so far away. why cant the mets just say we have plenty of time to watch it to see if it will eventually pose a threat somewhere? instead they all throw up the first cone and they see it recurving and say it is no threat. that just doesnt seem to be responisble, yet they all do it. now as the last few days have gone on they have said the same thing regarding possibly a shift further west. i just wish they would give a storm time before they start talking about conclusions which no one has answers to so far in advance....as far as karen goes, in my opinion if she can hold it together somewhat and withstand the high shear for the next couple days then its something everyone needs to watch because if that high builds in strong like the models are now saying, this will be a potential threat for someone. if she can survive into the sunday/monday time frame then we will have something to give serious watch time to over the next week.
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