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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

Cat 5orBust
Weather Hobbyist

Reged: Tue
Posts: 90

Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?
Thu Sep 27 2007 04:25 PM

i brought up a point last year about the local meteorologists on t.v. in south florida and how they present information regarding storms. i have to bring it up once again because it bothers me a little bit in how they provide the information. with regards to karen, when this developed several days ago each met posted the cone on tv and all said that it will turn out in the atlantic and not be a threat to any land which based on the information at that time was true. today we have several of the reliable models with yet another shift to the west with the ecmwf, ukmet, and cmc among others bringing what as of today looks like a pretty strong hurricane towards south florida. now obviously these can change drastically over the next week as well and that is IF karen even survives the shear. my beef with the mets is that when you have a storm so far out and litereally 2 weeks away at the time karen was born, dont come out and say it will not pose any threat to florida or any landmass. we all know that patterns change all the time and you cant base any future forecast on something so far away. why cant the mets just say we have plenty of time to watch it to see if it will eventually pose a threat somewhere? instead they all throw up the first cone and they see it recurving and say it is no threat. that just doesnt seem to be responisble, yet they all do it. now as the last few days have gone on they have said the same thing regarding possibly a shift further west. i just wish they would give a storm time before they start talking about conclusions which no one has answers to so far in advance....as far as karen goes, in my opinion if she can hold it together somewhat and withstand the high shear for the next couple days then its something everyone needs to watch because if that high builds in strong like the models are now saying, this will be a potential threat for someone. if she can survive into the sunday/monday time frame then we will have something to give serious watch time to over the next week.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Karen Lounge	Hurricane29	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:25 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall	allan	Sat Sep 29 2007 07:31 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall	TampaRand	Sat Sep 29 2007 06:46 PM
Is Karen gone for good?	Rasvar	Mon Oct 01 2007 07:43 PM
Re: Is Karen gone for good?	weathernet	Mon Oct 01 2007 09:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall	allan	Sat Sep 29 2007 05:14 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	allan	Thu Sep 27 2007 01:02 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	allan	Wed Sep 26 2007 02:30 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	MikeC	Wed Sep 26 2007 02:50 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	jbmusic	Wed Sep 26 2007 06:57 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	TampaRand	Thu Sep 27 2007 01:05 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	Lamar-Plant City	Thu Sep 27 2007 03:49 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	Cat 5orBust	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:25 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	MikeC	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:29 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	WeatherNut	Thu Sep 27 2007 09:05 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	MikeC	Fri Sep 28 2007 12:02 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to be hurricane?	saluki	Fri Sep 28 2007 01:01 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	spinup	Sun Sep 23 2007 08:28 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	weathernet	Sun Sep 23 2007 09:36 PM
Clarification	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 23 2007 10:53 PM
Re: Clarification	MikeC	Mon Sep 24 2007 08:38 AM
Re: Clarification	Robbissimo	Mon Sep 24 2007 08:57 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	weathernet	Sun Sep 23 2007 01:39 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	BillD	Sun Sep 23 2007 04:48 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	cieldumort	Sun Sep 23 2007 02:40 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	weathernet	Sun Sep 23 2007 05:42 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	srquirrely	Mon Sep 24 2007 09:09 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	weathernet	Mon Sep 24 2007 09:43 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	doug	Mon Sep 24 2007 10:39 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	spinup	Mon Sep 24 2007 11:17 AM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	punkyg	Mon Sep 24 2007 01:01 PM
looks like a TD to me at the least	LoisCane	Mon Sep 24 2007 02:12 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	cieldumort	Mon Sep 24 2007 07:37 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	cieldumort	Mon Sep 24 2007 08:47 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	MikeC	Mon Sep 24 2007 08:52 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	weathernet	Mon Sep 24 2007 10:10 PM
Forecast Lounge	danielw	Mon Sep 24 2007 11:42 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	punkyg	Mon Sep 24 2007 09:00 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	MikeC	Mon Sep 24 2007 02:28 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	M.A.	Mon Sep 24 2007 02:42 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	weathernet	Mon Sep 24 2007 05:30 PM
Re: looks like a TD to me at the least	MikeC	Mon Sep 24 2007 07:13 PM
Re: Invest 96L off the african coast....	allan	Mon Sep 24 2007 12:18 PM
Re: Invest 96L of the african coast....	MikeC	Sun Sep 23 2007 10:09 AM
Re: Invest 96L of the african coast....	WeatherNut	Sun Sep 23 2007 11:26 AM
Re: Invest 96L of the african coast....	punkyg	Sun Sep 23 2007 11:53 AM
Re: Invest 96l of the african coast....	punkyg	Sun Sep 23 2007 07:37 AM
Re: Invest 96l of the african coast....	allan	Sun Sep 23 2007 09:47 AM

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