On the last few frames, Karen is moving due WEST, it has stopped it's northward movement and should continue on a west or west - northwestward course. Karen is also surprisingly blowing up convection.. on the CIMMS shear map shear is 10-15 knots where the actual center is, but where the moisture is, it's 30-50 knots. Yesterday, Karen had that "Barry" look when it reached it's peak in June. This should only be temporary but, it makes me believe even more that she will make it through, also the only reason why the 3 models (GFS, GFDL, and UKMET) even dissipate the storm is because they are developing a trough off the East Coast that would absorb Karen up, not buying yet. For a Tropical Storm, she is actually looking really good. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-vis.html
Tropical Depression 14 literally shocked me this morning.. I found out it was tagged an invest early this morning and then a TD at 11 am. this should stay out to sea, but wouldn't surprise me if it were to head to Bermuda in the long term.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 12316
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center