cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Re: For October Its Busy Out There
Wed Oct 10 2007 04:45 PM
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Looks like 94 still might try something, eventually. There are also a few other weak swirls spinning about within the trof draped ENE and NE from extreme southwestern Bay of Campeche all the way into the western Atlantic. 94L still has a tag on it, even though it is now over land. Seems reasonable to keep that tag and floater going, with it still intact, generating numerous showers and storms, and lots of possibilities to pop back out over open water. Nonetheless, the fronts draped W-E to 94's north, and with very & dry stable air behind them, should preclude much of any northward component for at least another day or two, and even if it does begin tracking north, then it might encounter an extremely hostile airmass. For now, to me it looks more like a no threat, rain-flood threat, or maybe just maybe a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean, Bay of Campeche and/or out to sea threat.
In all actuality, if I was looking for Noel right now, I would be paying attention to how NHC operationally handles the non-tropical low quickly acquiring tropical characteristics out near 32N 15W.
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