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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2671
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic
Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM

I can't make heads or tails out of Noel's current position based on the IR imagery.. all channels and enhancements aren't telling at this time. Reading the 11PM Advisory, NHC is having the same trouble. What we all need is some solid data coming back in from recon, and this is currently underway. Hopefully a timely microwave pass or two will assist tremendously, as well.

If I was guessing.. based on IR and the very few sparse ground reports that are available there... Noel is either pulling due north and going inland over DR/Haiti.. and/or perhaps re-centering, or attempting to reform, a new LLC to the SE of the former position. (In other words, one or the other or even both could be happening!) All I can say is that if the real pros are having about as much trouble as this tonight, I can't imagine the models are using the best starting points for their runs, either.

What has been made somewhat clear tonight, is we probably don't have to worry about another TC forming in the near future anywhere near Noel to complicate things further (there have been attempts to grow something out of the disturbance down around Panama, as well as out of the well-formed mid-level low in the west-northwest Caribbean.)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	danielw	Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	scottsvb	Mon Oct 29 2007 06:23 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	Lee-Delray	Mon Oct 29 2007 06:11 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	ftlaudbob	Mon Oct 29 2007 06:03 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	saluki	Mon Oct 29 2007 05:19 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 05:10 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:43 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	scottsvb	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:36 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	Lamar-Plant City	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:29 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:25 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	ftlaudbob	Mon Oct 29 2007 03:56 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	danielw	Mon Oct 29 2007 03:51 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 03:47 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	danielw	Mon Oct 29 2007 03:31 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 02:19 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	ftlaudbob	Mon Oct 29 2007 12:45 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	Steve H1	Mon Oct 29 2007 12:31 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	doug	Mon Oct 29 2007 10:18 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	allan	Mon Oct 29 2007 09:38 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	cieldumort	Mon Oct 29 2007 05:57 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	cieldumort	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	dem05	Mon Oct 29 2007 04:07 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	danielw	Mon Oct 29 2007 02:13 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	cieldumort	Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	LoisCane	Mon Oct 29 2007 01:51 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic	allan	Mon Oct 29 2007 01:33 AM
Night satellite images	danielw	Mon Oct 29 2007 12:41 AM
Re: Tropical storm Noel	Steve H1	Sun Oct 28 2007 09:53 PM
Re: Tropical storm Noel	vineyardsaker	Sun Oct 28 2007 09:36 PM
Tropical storm Noel	ftlaudbob	Sun Oct 28 2007 02:29 PM
Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea	Gigsley	Sun Oct 28 2007 02:19 PM
Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea	LoisCane	Sun Oct 28 2007 01:49 PM
Re: sweet sixteen	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Oct 28 2007 01:42 PM
sweet sixteen	HanKFranK	Sun Oct 28 2007 01:28 PM
Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea	Cat 5orBust	Sun Oct 28 2007 09:31 AM
Re: TD 16 Early Satellite views	cieldumort	Sun Oct 28 2007 03:19 AM
TD 16 Early Satellite views	danielw	Sun Oct 28 2007 01:58 AM

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