F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 211 (Idalia) , Major: 211 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 211 (Idalia) Major: 211 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic
      Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM

Some of the most divergent model runs are popping up at 29/00Z. To consider any of these with any more faith than with a grain of salt we still need to be able to have a center fix that we can truly believe, and that is looking mighty challenging tonight.

Here are a few notables from the 00Z runs which highlight the discrepancies still very much underway:

GFDL: Crosses Noel over DR/Haiti and then eases left (westward). Straightens out. Reorganizes Noel a bit. Noel becomes a Cat 1-2 crossing the Bahamas and begins easing a bit right, approaching Bermuda as a major hurricane. Continues on as a Cat 2/3 before undergoing ET. Threatens Nova Scotia as a very potent hybridizing cyclone, asymmetrically warm-cored.

UKMET: Takes TS Noel through western DR/Haiti and drives him wnw along and/or just offshore of Cuba through the rest of the week!

GFS: Loses the closed LLC of Noel over DR/Haiti. Devolves the remains into a trof. Reforms a new LLC northwest of there, and takes it northwest towards offshore southeast Florida & the Bahamas. Loses this LLC, and devolves it into another trof. Forms yet another LLC north-northeast of that location, up near Bermuda. Scrapes Bermuda from the east with a new or newly reborn TS Noel (??) and then just about stalls it out to drift in that location.

NAM: Loses the closed LLC of Noel over DR/Haiti. Redevelops it well to the southwest of there, and drives the newly reborn TS Noel (??) northwest through the Yucatan Channel and/or over extreme western Cuba for Halloween.

Trick or Treat!

It's enough to make you want to eat some candy in the middle of the night.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:23 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:11 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic saluki   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lamar-Plant City   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:29 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:51 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:47 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Steve H1   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:18 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 09:38 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:57 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic dem05   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:07 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 02:13 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic LoisCane   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:51 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:33 AM
. * * Night satellite images danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel Steve H1   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel vineyardsaker   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:36 PM
. * * Tropical storm Noel ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 28 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Gigsley   Sun Oct 28 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea LoisCane   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: sweet sixteen CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:42 PM
. * * sweet sixteen HanKFranK   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Cat 5orBust   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:31 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Early Satellite views cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2007 03:19 AM
. * * TD 16 Early Satellite views danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:58 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 9 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 28520

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center