Just a tidbit from the Melbourne NWS morning discussion:
BY NEXT WEEKEND...WHATEVER BECOMES OF TD #6 SHOULD BE PASSING NEAR
THE LONGITUDE OF FL. WHILE IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE HOW FAR
NORTH/STRONG THE SYSTEM WILL BE WITH ANY SEMBLANCE OF CERTAINTY...
GIVEN THE EARLY SEASON ACTIVITY/TC LANDFALLS IN THE GOMEX...FOR THOSE
WHO ALREADY HAVEN'T DONE SO...NOW WOULD BE A VERY GOOD TIME FOR YOU
TO MAKE SURE YOUR SEASONAL HURRICANE SUPPLY KIT AND PLAN OF ACTION
ARE UP TO DATE. REFER TO TPC AND HPC DISCUSSIONS REGARDING TD #6.
Despite the forward speed, I've noted that most of the convection seems to hang in close to the circulation center. It would not take much of a slowdown to aid in additional development.
Mary has noted the dry air which is probably the real factor that has held back intensification, however NHC still seems to believe that the TD will make it to TS strength today. I think that someone posted this before, but its worth repeating the link to the Caribbean reporting stations:
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