As we have seen we can expect the system to remain weak until it bypasses Hispanola...how weak will depend on the track...if it interacts with land it will not pull together...if it keeps its center south of the large islands then it has a chance to develop...also can expect the forward motion to slow in a couple of days so where it is in 36-48 hrs will determine the fate of this system...the NHC models do not take it to full hurricane in 96hrs...I think that is because of the interaction with land and the forward speed... as in Claudette, speed is not condicive to rapid development...but this system will be ventelated better and spared the shear machine . It is a definite threat to Florida, in my opinion, and as did claudette, could develop much stronger in the final hours before it strikes somewhere.
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