.LONG TERM... (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) THE 12 UTC GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THROWN US YET ANOTHER CURVE BALL AS THEIR LATEST SOLUTIONS TAKE FAY INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF BY THIS WEEKEND (AS OPPOSED TO A TRACK ACROSS SOUTH GA AND SOUTH AL). THIS COULD ALLOW FOR RE- STRENGTHENING DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH OF FAY SURVIVES HER TREKS ACROSS THE STATE. THE ECMWF EVENTUALLY TAKES FAY INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MS WHILE THE GFS TAKES FAY SLOWLY INLAND AROUND PANAMA CITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE TOOK A BLEND OF THE THESE TWO SOLUTIONS FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. WITH EITHER SCENARIO WE EXPECT QUITE A BIT OF RAIN...RANGING FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. OF COURSE THE SLOWER GFS SOLUTION WOULD LEAD TO EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS. WE STILL HAVE NOT BEEN ADVERTISING MUCH OF A WIND THREAT...BUT IF THESE LATEST MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE WE MAY START DOING THIS.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 68173
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center