Always watch radar when it comes to movement. Sat images give a false sense of movement. Also sat images are updated usually every 12-30min while radar is updated every 4-6 min. Also you have to look at the movement over the past hour or 2. Fay wont get much further north than this as the ridge is now along 81W..so maybe another 10miles ( 28.5-29dg as I stated in my forecasts) or so then maybe a wobble to the east or southeast can happen before a turn west later tomorrow. Finally the GFDL has come along (somewhat). Fay looks about right for a 995 pressure over land, has a open area of divergence near the center (no precip) and has most of its strongest winds on the SE side and over the water in feeder bands. If Fay does jog ENE-ESE by just a dg to 79-80W then she does have 24hrs to make it back to hurricane status before the ridge gets her moving west back towards Cape-Daytona beach.
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