Reading the latest Discussion on Fay. I caught this little bit of information.
THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SAGGED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH...AND SO HAS THE OFFICIAL TRACK. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST POINTS LISTED BELOW DO NOT EXPLICITLY INDICATE IT...THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK HUGS THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AT 36 TO 48 HOURS. IF FAY ENDS UP MOVING FARTHER SOUTH THAN FORECAST...AND SPENDS MORE TIME THAN FORECAST OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF...IT COULD BE AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH A COUPLE OF DAYS FROM NOW. IF...HOWEVER...IT MOVES NORTH OF THE OFFICIAL TRACK...IT COULD WEAKEN FASTER THAN INDICATED BELOW.
REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING RATHER SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...POSING A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAZARD TO A VERY LARGE AREA.
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