No, it won't bring the SAME result, but, maybe the season will be tempered a bit.
I watched on TV a briefing by Max Mayfield here yesterday, he compared the season with 1933 (busiest ever) and '97 (a really poor one) based on number of storms so far. Ps in 33 three storms hot Fl that yr...in 97, Danny brushed us--I still remember it sitting and spinning and INTENSIFYING over Mobile Bay!
His points: '33 was a strong la Nina yr, '97 was a strong el Nino---this yr, we are neutral (La NIna has faded out) , so , our results should be in between.
Further---note an upswing in CenPac, looks like MJO positive phase wil be here soon, another upswing end of next week seesm likely.
RE: Low off St. Aug--whoever it was likened the situation to Jerry (on he last thread), gets a gold star! And was no wishcaster, too!
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