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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 233 (Idalia) , Major: 233 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 233 (Idalia) Major: 233 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Re: Drops
      Sun Sep 07 2008 04:00 AM

Latest modell runs (should have ingested some of the recon data!?): All dynamical modells (the GFDL´s, HWRF, NOGAPS, except the GFS), show the nothward component to the westward motion to begin sooner, so that Ike stays more to the northern side of Cuba. The GFS sends Ike to the southern side. In the later forecast periond in the central gulf all modells (exept the NOGAPs, which send Ike straight NW to New Orleans) turn the storm from NW back to the WNW and send the storm to Texas. So Florida (except the Keys) is a bit out of the focus for the moment.
Is there a good source for the ECMWF-runs?
edit: Found a good source for the ECMWF with interesting comparison to GFS: ECMWF
So the ECMWF follows the general trend and sends the storm to texas.

Newest Center Fix: Nothing new. Data show a strong cat. 3 with 946 hPa central pressure. Movement straight west between the last two center fixes.

Edited by Raymond (Sun Sep 07 2008 04:32 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest MikeCAdministrator Sun Sep 07 2008 04:00 AM
. * * Re: Drops dolfinatic   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:00 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Drops Genesis   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:53 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:14 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:19 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:11 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Drops stormchazer   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Drops CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops doug   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Drops RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Drops Random Chaos   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Drops WPB Ken   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Drops Texas Cane Tracker   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:40 PM
. * * Re: OOPS Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:34 PM
. * * OOPS danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Drops JulieTampa   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Drops Mag   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Drops pcbjr   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:35 PM
. * * Drops danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest KJJAXFL   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Sheeper   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Pcola DWard   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:51 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Terra   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:23 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:12 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:53 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:44 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:39 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:18 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:11 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! hurricane expert   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:08 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:45 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:42 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:19 PM
. * * New Orleans again?! vineyardsaker   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Colleen A.   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely RevUp   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely madmumbler   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Lee-Delray   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest shewtinstar   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Models CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:16 AM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:23 AM

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