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#Kirk did not live long and prosper, for now. However #98L is likely undergoing TC Genesis and may succeed. Carolinas may want to watch.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 11 (Florence) , Major: 370 (Maria) Florida - Any: 379 (Irma) Major: 379 (Irma)
31.9N 46.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Se at 8 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2008 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1153
Loc: fl
Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical
      Sun Sep 07 2008 11:44 AM

Well here's the factor that we are all looking @. First thing First, does IKE move west longer and thru most of Cuba and exit near 81W or does just interact with Cuba along the north coast and move out moreso near 78-79W? Further north will have greatest impact on the Keys. 1st course would bring Tropical Storm force conditions to the Keys. 2nd course would bring a major Hurricane to the Keys. Now the 1st course might take it near 25N and 85W, 2nd near 25N and 83W, just 2dg will make a big difference in not only affecting the Keys, but also Floridas west coast and most importantly here, the future movement.

Now with that said, let me give you a reasoning. First we do believe the first trough will bypass IKE. If IKE takes his slightly southern course above, then he might want to tend further west before a 2nd trough comes down and pushes IKE north into LA (Biloxi MS-Upper TX coast). Or what we might see happen is the 2nd course would make IKE stall in the eastern GOM with weak steering currents around 26N and 84-85W meander for a day before the 2nd trough picks him up and take IKE North and NNE towards the NE Gulf from there-Biloxi. Another words there are 2 scenerios. I dont see how IKE will miss both them troughs and make it to a area south of Galveston, TX. I wont say it wont happen, but just dont see it this time of year.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator Sun Sep 07 2008 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Random Chaos   Mon Sep 08 2008 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Storm Cooper   Mon Sep 08 2008 04:41 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Raymond   Mon Sep 08 2008 04:27 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 03:15 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category cate   Mon Sep 08 2008 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Rasvar   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category scottsvb   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical cieldumort   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category HCW   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Random Chaos   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:36 PM
. * * Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Rasvar   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:52 PM
. * * Re: why this is a possible problem Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:11 PM
. * * Re: why this is a possible problem Random Chaos   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:06 PM
. * * why this is a possible problem LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Rasvar   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical smorse22   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical kromdog   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical JonB   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Colleen A.   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical JonB   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical doug   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical jf   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Myles   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical chase 22   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical jf   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical AdvAutoBob   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical WeatherNut   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Bev   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical rmiller1031   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical hurricane expert   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical pcola   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical RU12   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical vineyardsaker   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical RU12   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical smorse22   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:55 AM

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