Eh, I wouldn't buy into the models too much now. Wanna see how wacked the guidence is? The AVN takes this thing to the northeast and then back to the northwest. In addition, the wave is moving at 20 mph (per nhc TWO). I'm not buying into any recurvature right now, much less the sharp and quick recurvature solutions that the models are showing now. Wait till (if) we get TD 8 to see better model runs. All interests in the islands need to monitor this system...it's that simple.
The area east of the Bahamas has some decent convective activity today. Pressures in the area are 1019-1021 millibars, however.
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