It well be weakness of the ridge but it is far to the south and moving at a good clip so until I see it around 11-12n then it may begin to recurve and also if it is a weak system TD or weak TS it will move with the east flow not like a hurricane that will move with the upper flow so time will tell if the islands will be missed by the system or it will threat them.
-------------------- My 2004 hurricane season forecast=13/8/3
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