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Archives >> 2009 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1153
Loc: fl
Re: Gulf Low
      Fri May 22 2009 12:33 AM

The system is 70% cold core...low level tropical moisture is being pulled north...but its COC is cold core. This doesnt have enough things going for it to become a subtropical storm.. I said 25% chance last night...and I'm sticking with that. The water infront of this is cooler in the mid 70s...right now its near 80 as of 6z Fri. Even though I dont think this will make a subtropical depression....tropical moisture from the lower levels along with the unstable cold core low in the mid levels will produce T-storms out as far as Florida..with this coming ashore in Louisiana.

Side note... models are persistant in the GFS,ECMWF and Nogaps on keeping pressures low in the bahamas and florida... a low may develop again near Cuba, southern Bahamas, or near Andros Island again and move north along the east coast of Florida early next week... 30% chance this will happen cause its too far out to actually really care. Don't want to say this has a chance cause windshear will be high until it reaches the northern Bahamas and Florida.. Water temps are marginal...but this will be more tropical like 90L and not what is in the GOM right now....if there is anything at all!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf Low MikeCAdministrator Fri May 22 2009 12:33 AM
. * * Re: great video MichaelA   Tue May 26 2009 11:05 AM
. * * Re: great video HCW   Tue May 26 2009 09:51 AM
. * * Re: great video metwannabe   Tue May 26 2009 09:25 AM
. * * Re: great video mikethewreck   Tue May 26 2009 03:47 AM
. * * great video LoisCane   Tue May 26 2009 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low HCW   Mon May 25 2009 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low danielwAdministrator   Mon May 25 2009 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low cieldumort   Sat May 23 2009 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low danielwAdministrator   Sat May 23 2009 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Storm Hunter   Sat May 23 2009 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low JoshuaK2   Sat May 23 2009 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low mbfly   Sat May 23 2009 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low danielwAdministrator   Sat May 23 2009 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Bloodstar   Sat May 23 2009 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low cieldumort   Sat May 23 2009 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Storm Cooper   Fri May 22 2009 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Hugh   Fri May 22 2009 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low LoisCane   Fri May 22 2009 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Storm Hunter   Fri May 22 2009 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Marknole   Fri May 22 2009 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low HCW   Fri May 22 2009 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low scottsvb   Fri May 22 2009 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Gulf Low JoshuaK   Thu May 21 2009 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low Storm Hunter   Thu May 21 2009 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low danielwAdministrator   Thu May 21 2009 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low MikeCAdministrator   Thu May 21 2009 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Low key   Thu May 21 2009 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Area in the Gulf for Development vineyardsaker   Thu May 21 2009 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Watching Area in the Gulf for Development JMII   Wed May 20 2009 06:33 PM
. * * Watching Area in the Gulf for Development danielwAdministrator   Wed May 20 2009 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development JoshuaK   Wed May 20 2009 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Wed May 20 2009 12:40 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development vineyardsaker   Wed May 20 2009 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development JoshuaK   Wed May 20 2009 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Tue May 19 2009 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Tue May 19 2009 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development weatherguy08   Tue May 19 2009 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Tue May 19 2009 10:01 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development HCW   Tue May 19 2009 09:52 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development adam s   Tue May 19 2009 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development Rick99   Tue May 19 2009 09:12 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Tue May 19 2009 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development LoisCane   Mon May 18 2009 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Mon May 18 2009 09:37 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development k___g   Mon May 18 2009 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development mikethewreck   Mon May 18 2009 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Mon May 18 2009 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development k___g   Mon May 18 2009 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development Storm Hunter   Mon May 18 2009 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Mon May 18 2009 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development rhendryx   Mon May 18 2009 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development MichaelA   Mon May 18 2009 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 18 2009 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 18 2009 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development Lois   Mon May 18 2009 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development byrdlh   Mon May 18 2009 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development LoisCane   Mon May 18 2009 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development weathernet   Mon May 18 2009 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development LoisCane   Mon May 18 2009 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development JoshuaK   Mon May 18 2009 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development Beach   Mon May 18 2009 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development MichaelA   Mon May 18 2009 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Mon May 18 2009 12:22 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development cchsweatherman   Sun May 17 2009 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area LoisCane   Sun May 17 2009 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area Storm Hunter   Sun May 17 2009 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area craigm   Sun May 17 2009 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area HCW   Sun May 17 2009 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area JoshuaK   Sun May 17 2009 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area LoisCane   Sun May 17 2009 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area Lamar-Plant City   Sun May 17 2009 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area danielwAdministrator   Sun May 17 2009 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area JoshuaK   Sun May 17 2009 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area weathernet   Sun May 17 2009 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area danielwAdministrator   Sun May 17 2009 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area MichaelA   Sun May 17 2009 01:21 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area weathernet   Sun May 17 2009 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area Storm Cooper   Sun May 17 2009 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Development in Cuba Jamaica Area danielwAdministrator   Sun May 17 2009 12:19 PM
. * * Development in Cuba Jamaica Area danielwAdministrator   Sun May 17 2009 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 17 2009 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Sun May 17 2009 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development JoshuaK   Sat May 16 2009 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development docrod   Sat May 16 2009 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Early! Watching Area in the Gulf for Development scottsvb   Sat May 16 2009 09:21 PM

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