Quote: Air Force Recon on standby again form a flight tmrw... heck it should be really close to AFB tmrw, i wouldn't be susprised if they flew one mission just to test out equipment/etc. The door is closing on the low now... its running out of water and time... this afternoon... a few storms have fired over center... but shear tears them apart...
This is a bit reminiscent of T.S. Edouard that formed last year, just off the coast of Mobile. It was largley ignored by the NHC as a non-tropical low until suddenly someone decided to send a recon out and it found to be organized enough to be a tropical depression, then strengthened to a tropical storm before moving inland. The difference with Edouard was that it was moving basically due west, while this thing is moving toward the coast. So it might very well run out of real estate, but in the post-season analysis, I would be shocked if it were not designated at least a depression.
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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