a broad area of low pressure is centered over the gulf of mexico about 200 miles south of pensacola florida. satellite imagery indicates that the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to increase this evening. additional development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form before the low moves inland over the northern gulf coast on saturday. an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft will investigate the low tomorrow, if necessary. there is a medium chance(30 to) 50 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. regardless of development, heavy rains and occasionally gusty winds are expected along portions of the northern gulf coast tonight and saturday, and interests in this area should monitor the progress of the system.
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