Wasn't trying to guess-cast here folks, just looking at the area of disturbed weather in the SW Caribbean and lower pressure in that area. Sure the GFS spits out spurious lows, but this is an area of the atlantic that can produce early tropical activity. We've already had a couple of invests, so the potential is there. They have upgraded the GFS to attempt to remove some of the convective feedback issues, which from my experience, tends to introduce different issues that have to be corrected, but is a step in the right direction. But still, I suspect that the GFS may be on to something, and we may have something to watch next week. Cheers!!
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