Interesting comment in the long-term forecast today for Tampa:
ON A SIDE NOTE THE LATEST GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATE IN THE LONG RANGE PERIOD WITH THIS LOW MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTH FL ON SATURDAY. THE 12Z ECMWF AND 18Z DGEX SHOW SOMEWHAT SIMILAR DEVELOPMENTS BUT ARE MUCH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND WEST WITH THIS FEATURE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO THE LOCATION/MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THIS POTENTIAL LOW LEAVES LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THE DAY 7 FORECAST (SATURDAY)...SO FOR NOW WILL ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION AND DEPICT CLIMO-LEVEL POPS (30%) ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT IF THE GFS CONTINUES WITH ITS CURRENT TRENDS AND OTHER MODELS COME MORE IN LINE WITH IT...THEN RAIN CHANCES FOR SATURDAY WILL NEED TO BE INCREASED IN LATER FORECASTS.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 23135
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center