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Archives >> 2009 News Talkbacks

Ed Dunham
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2089
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow
Mon Aug 31 2009 10:27 AM

The NHC might take the system to TD status at 15Z, but I doubt it. The convection is all to the east of the center. The center itself is roughly at 15N 53W at 31/14Z moving to the west northwest. Since the convection is removed from the actual center, its not really a 'cdo', i.e., the system is still quite disorganized.

Be patient - it will evolve, but just a bit more slowly. It has a rough shear environment ahead of it so intensification will probably be on the slow side. Finally, keep it 'civil' - NHC seems to have a pretty good handle on this one.
Thanks,
ED

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:27 AM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 07:48 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hawkeyewx	Tue Sep 01 2009 07:28 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 06:54 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 06:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the northern Leeward Islands	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 05:34 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the northern Leeward Islands	ftlaudbob	Tue Sep 01 2009 05:18 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the northern Leeward Islands	Evan Johnson	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:55 PM
Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the northern Leeward Islands	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:50 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:49 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	MichaelA	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:42 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:38 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:37 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:31 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:15 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Ed Dunham	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:13 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Thunderbird12	Tue Sep 01 2009 03:58 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Storm Hunter	Tue Sep 01 2009 03:31 PM
Recon	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 03:29 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:56 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hawkeyewx	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:51 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:47 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:43 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:34 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:28 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:25 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	weathernet	Tue Sep 01 2009 02:25 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	weathernet	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:53 PM
Posts	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:48 PM
94L	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:42 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Beach	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:28 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hawkeyewx	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:21 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:17 PM
Re: 94L	weathernet	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:16 PM
Re: HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:03 PM
HPC - Carribbean Forecast Discussion	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 12:26 PM
NWSFO - San Juan - Area Forecast Discussion	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 12:25 PM
Re: 94L	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 12:14 PM
Re: 94L	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 12:02 PM
Re: 94L	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:47 AM
Re: 94L	MichaelA	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:40 AM
Re: 94L	Evan Johnson	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:29 AM
Re: 94L	MikeC	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:09 AM
Re: 94L	JMII	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:04 AM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Tue Sep 01 2009 11:00 AM
Re: 94L	LoisCane	Tue Sep 01 2009 10:43 AM
Re: 94L	craigm	Tue Sep 01 2009 10:33 AM
Re: 94L	Hawkeyewx	Tue Sep 01 2009 09:36 AM
Re: 94L	LoisCane	Tue Sep 01 2009 09:26 AM
Re: 94L	Hawkeyewx	Tue Sep 01 2009 08:27 AM
Re: 94L and GOM?	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 08:20 AM
Re: 94L	OrlandoDan	Tue Sep 01 2009 07:28 AM
94L	danielw	Tue Sep 01 2009 07:23 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	berrywr	Tue Sep 01 2009 06:42 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	ncskywarn	Tue Sep 01 2009 04:54 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	hurricane expert	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:56 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	ncskywarn	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:53 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	flanewscameraman	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:51 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	blue flash	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:48 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	JoshuaK	Tue Sep 01 2009 01:34 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	LoisCane	Mon Aug 31 2009 11:15 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	cieldumort	Mon Aug 31 2009 09:54 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Evan Johnson	Mon Aug 31 2009 08:45 PM
looking impressive	SeaMule	Mon Aug 31 2009 08:27 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Beach	Mon Aug 31 2009 06:37 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	doug	Mon Aug 31 2009 04:36 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	craigm	Mon Aug 31 2009 02:43 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 31 2009 01:45 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	cieldumort	Mon Aug 31 2009 01:41 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Mon Aug 31 2009 12:24 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 31 2009 12:24 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	cieldumort	Mon Aug 31 2009 12:02 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 31 2009 11:55 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Tazmanian93	Mon Aug 31 2009 11:43 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	cieldumort	Mon Aug 31 2009 11:18 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:27 AM
Re: 94L	hogrunr	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:23 AM
Re: 94L	scottsvb	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:21 AM
Re: 94L	Evan Johnson	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:08 AM
Re: 94L	weathernet	Mon Aug 31 2009 10:07 AM
Re: 94L	hogrunr	Mon Aug 31 2009 09:59 AM
Re: 94L	metwannabe	Mon Aug 31 2009 09:55 AM
Re: 94L	hogrunr	Mon Aug 31 2009 09:34 AM
Re: 94L	danielw	Mon Aug 31 2009 08:02 AM
94L	danielw	Mon Aug 31 2009 07:24 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	berrywr	Mon Aug 31 2009 05:49 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	ncskywarn	Mon Aug 31 2009 05:33 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	JoshuaK	Mon Aug 31 2009 05:17 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	weathernet	Sun Aug 30 2009 08:42 PM
Watch the back door again...GOM	danielw	Sun Aug 30 2009 07:55 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 30 2009 06:39 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	AdvAutoBob	Sun Aug 30 2009 05:50 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	JMII	Sun Aug 30 2009 04:47 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	hogrunr	Sun Aug 30 2009 03:48 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	ftlaudbob	Sun Aug 30 2009 03:15 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 30 2009 02:48 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Beach	Sun Aug 30 2009 02:41 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	hogrunr	Sun Aug 30 2009 02:33 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Hugh	Sun Aug 30 2009 01:03 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sun Aug 30 2009 12:56 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sun Aug 30 2009 12:50 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	berrywr	Sun Aug 30 2009 12:41 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Hugh	Sun Aug 30 2009 10:37 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 30 2009 10:13 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Hugh	Sun Aug 30 2009 10:02 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	OrlandoDan	Sun Aug 30 2009 09:06 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	Hurikid	Sun Aug 30 2009 08:59 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	craigm	Sun Aug 30 2009 08:44 AM

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