The NHC might take the system to TD status at 15Z, but I doubt it. The convection is all to the east of the center. The center itself is roughly at 15N 53W at 31/14Z moving to the west northwest. Since the convection is removed from the actual center, its not really a 'cdo', i.e., the system is still quite disorganized.
Be patient - it will evolve, but just a bit more slowly. It has a rough shear environment ahead of it so intensification will probably be on the slow side. Finally, keep it 'civil' - NHC seems to have a pretty good handle on this one. Thanks, ED
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