I have no idea. I like to think each storm is its own story; that is when you analyze why one storm is and another storm isn't; it's not as simple as past storms histories, the time of year it is. Yes, there is climatology when we speak in broad strokes, but specific storms; the bottom line here are the upper level winds. As to why the upper level winds are what they are, maybe it does have something to do with the El Nino and Southern Ocillation; if it does, it's beyond my level of expertise. It's been asked whether IF global warming if there would be more hurricanes than normal. I don't think it's a question whether a hurricane is likely to be stronger, but whether global warming and the effects on the upper levels will make it more hostile for hurricanes to develop in the first place. It takes more than hot water to get a storm to spin up. Danny and Erika are proof of what 20 knots of winds at 40,000 feet will do to disrupt a tropical storm.
"To work in the service of life and the living..." - John Denver
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 16735
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center