Quote: It looks like it will by tonight (could be the afternoon). I'd like to see better Dvorak T Numbers than what it has, it's trending toward that way, but not quite there yet. Convection is starting to organize around the center/consolidating, and the overall large size is giving way to a more concentrated area. Also lack of QUIKSCAT this year is hurting for systems like this.
What happened to QUICKSCAT? Apologies if it's common knowledge, I wasn't aware that it didn't exist this year.
Navy has issued a TCFA. Ironically, now that the sun is up, it DOESN'T look as much on the verge of being a TD as it did with just the infrared images... although the floater is no longer over the system exactly - hopefully they'll move it soon. There's a big blowup of convection northeast of the LLC, so maybe it will reform there.
Time to dust off my "Favorites"
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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