cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana
Mon Jul 05 2010 07:54 PM
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I keep thinking how 95L is one of those systems where different opinions may be found in some abundance. For example, my own take is that 95L has sufficiently qualified as a tropical cyclone for the past 36 hours or so. And if the on again off again nature of NHC's new color-coded system (down to "almost 0%" earlier this afternoon, then Shazam! now up to "60%" late this afternoon) is any indication, there may even be a bit of official disagreement as to how to handle this one in real-time.
I expect that many a postmortem of the system will confirm 95L to be a TD/perhaps weak TS - and it still remains to be seen if we get to see an official bump now. If not now, perhaps we will post-season.
Regardless of how 95L gets handled operationally, the fact is, it is just now starting to come ashore, and as noted by NHC, is packing areas of near tropical storm force winds and some heavy rain, and save academia, this is what we really need to be focusing on right now, anyway.
So vacationers and residents directly in the path of 95L, particularly locations along its right front quadrant, should now be prepared for the likelihood of some imminent moderate to heavy rain, a chance of some pockets of tropical storm force winds - at least in the gusts, and a risk of some isolated waterspouts or tornadoes.
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