I think Bonnie will make it into the GOM as a Tropical Depression since it will be hitting water in about 1/1.5 hours. We'll see what the 18z models say but I don't see the system going any further east than Louisiana for its landfall. In fact, the 12z ECWMF shows the system moving into Texas. Conditions will likely inhibit Bonnie from getting above Tropical Storm(if that-I even wonder) intensity before landfall. But from what I can tell, the center is moving nearly due west.
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