Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995


The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season is over. 2015's run June 1st-Nov 30th, 2015.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 166 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3341 (9 y 1 m) (Wilma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2335
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Too soon?
      Wed Aug 11 2010 11:31 PM

Actually CSUs forecast is for 18/10/5, i.e., they expect 15 more named storms. Here is the link:
CSU August Forecast for 2010

NOAAs updated forecast was for 14-20/8-12/4-6 (which is quite a range - makes your forecast rather easy to hit I guess).

No, its not unreasonable. The standard argument has been 'look at 1969' - which was quite a different setup, i.e., 1969 was an El Nino year for the entire year. The real question may well be "At what point into the season does is become unlikely?" - and I don't have a good answer for that one - yet.

Perhaps I missed it, but I don't recall seeing anybody say that the season was going to be a bust. Note that we close out our annual seasonal forecast exercise around the first of June each year. Its posted in the Storm Forum.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 11 2010 11:46 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Too soon? Doombot! Wed Aug 11 2010 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? cieldumort   Sun Sep 12 2010 02:58 PM
. * * Unofficially TD5 became a Tropical Depression Thursday berrywr   Fri Aug 13 2010 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 11 2010 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 12 2010 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? berrywr   Fri Aug 13 2010 12:22 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Tazmanian93   Thu Aug 12 2010 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 12 2010 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Doombot!   Thu Aug 12 2010 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 13 2010 01:31 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Lamar-Plant City   Fri Aug 13 2010 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Fri Aug 13 2010 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Thu Sep 09 2010 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2010 12:18 PM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2010 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Thu Sep 09 2010 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Sat Sep 11 2010 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? cieldumort   Sun Sep 12 2010 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? ChrisS   Sun Sep 12 2010 11:05 AM
. * * Igor's path ftlaudbob   Fri Sep 10 2010 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Too soon? MichaelA   Thu Aug 12 2010 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Too soon? Lamar-Plant City   Thu Aug 12 2010 11:17 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 11925

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center