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Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge
      Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM

Quote:

Is this the potential second system that some of the models are trying to show?





Yep, my thoughts exactly. Of course the convection in the S. Central Caribbean is firing up nicely, but over the last few frames, I've noticed what I thought was actually a small area of turning ( mid level ? ) right on or just inside the coastline of Northeastern Venezuela. Either way, the spacing would seem more or less probable for whatever wave that came after Matthew, might be near this longitude. It would be pretty odd to see "our side of the world", that quickly develop a 2nd tropical cyclone - that fast. This would seem to fit the GFS's recent days of runs insistence of a 2nd low forming in relative close proximity to Matthew ( obviously much closer had Matthew stalled off the C. America coastline ).

With the recent global model's insistence I'm nearly convinced at this point that we'll soon see Nicole emerge from the Caribbean. A new system could of course just as easily be farther south than where the Euro/GFS solutions were indicating that Matthew might strike South Florida ( from Yucatan area ). Should newly developed cyclogenesis truly occur, but perhaps south ( or well south ) of 20 latitude, than it would seem clear that the impact of such timing and steering might render the current Euro/GFS solution of a South Florida impact to be "bogus". It remains to be seen if such a threat might once again exist next week, or it that threat might be placed elsewhere altogether.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Matthew Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 23 2010 03:43 PM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 23 2010 10:17 PM
. * * Matthew Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 24 2010 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 24 2010 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge weathernet   Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 24 2010 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 24 2010 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge Thunderbird12   Fri Sep 24 2010 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Sep 24 2010 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge Rasvar   Fri Sep 24 2010 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Fri Sep 24 2010 07:18 PM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 24 2010 10:38 AM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge Edski   Fri Sep 24 2010 12:08 AM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Thu Sep 23 2010 04:08 PM
. * * Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 23 2010 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Lisa and The Caribbean Wave weathernet   Wed Sep 22 2010 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 21 2010 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 21 2010 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 22 2010 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 22 2010 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Wed Sep 22 2010 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 23 2010 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Thu Sep 23 2010 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 23 2010 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 22 2010 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge hogrunr   Wed Sep 22 2010 10:38 AM

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