Quote: am really starting to worry about the potential of a major hurricane in the central Caribbean in just a few days
I'm right there with you on that. I would probably break down 91L's prospects roughly along these lines:
Top max sustained winds within 91L during the next 7 days (personal best guess odds):
Less than 39MPH: 5% 39 - 50 MPH: 10% 55 - 70 MPH: 25% 75 - 90 MPH: 15% 95 - 110 MPH: 25% Over 110 MPH: 20%
Or put another way, 95% odds of becoming a named storm, 35% odds of then maxing out as a TS, 60% odds of actually becoming a hurricane, and even 20% odds of becoming a major hurricane, within the next 7 days.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 16146
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center