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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Tropical System Approaches South Florida
      Wed Aug 13 2003 03:47 PM

At 19Z a Tropical Disturbance appears to be forming a low level center near 26.1N 75.9W (with considerable margin for error) or about 250 miles east of Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Movement is to the west, perhaps even slightly north of due west, at 15 knots. Winds near the formative center are estimated at 25 to 30 knots with pressure estimated at 1010mb.

The system has gained better organization during the day and if this trend continues, formation of a Tropical Depression seems likely later this evening. Squalls extend outward about 100 miles to the west of the center and about 150 miles to the north, east and south of the center. Squalls should reach the southern half of the Florida east coast well before sunrise on Thursday with some squalls producing tropical storm force gusts and brief heavy downpours.

Since most of the 'weather' is east of the developing center, rain squalls should last through mid afternoon along the Florida east coast, and into the evening along the Florida west coast.

If the system continues to develop, there is a chance that it might reach Tropical Storm intensity just before landfall Thursday morning, so residents of southeast Florida should monitor the progress of this developing system closely. All residents from about St. Augustine southward can expect a wet and windy commute Thursday morning.

ED


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF


DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.

Edited by CFHC (Wed Aug 13 2003 06:49 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical System Approaches South Florida Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 13 2003 03:47 PM
. * * the other area Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:54 PM
. * * THE wave... bobbi... really   Sun Aug 17 2003 08:52 PM
. * * Other noteworthy area Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:02 PM
. * * west winds Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:26 PM
. * * low level circulation forming? Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:27 PM
. * * Re: low level circulation forming? clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:52 PM
. * * Re: low level circulation forming? J.J.   Thu Aug 14 2003 03:23 PM
. * * Re: another ULL? Tropics Guy   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:03 PM
. * * recon found SW wind Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:18 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:27 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:33 PM
. * * Re: recon found SW wind Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:41 PM
. * * ERIKA Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:50 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:53 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:00 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:03 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:34 PM
. * * TS Erika Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:27 PM
. * * Re: ERIKA- upgraded by NHC at 1600 8/14 Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:57 PM
. * * Non-Weather Bulletin clyde w.   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Non-Weather Bulletin Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:29 PM
. * * Re: another ULL? Frank P   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:14 PM
. * * NRL garyb   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:20 PM
. * * Re: NRL Rich B   Thu Aug 14 2003 04:24 PM
. * * low level circ? Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Cocoa Beach   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:23 AM
. * * low level center Alex   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:18 AM
. * * Re: low level center stormchazer   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:10 PM
. * * Re: low level center Rad   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:21 PM
. * * Re: low level center Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:40 PM
. * * Re: low level center scottsvb   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:24 PM
. * * Re: low level center Joe   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:08 PM
. * * Re: low level center caneman   Thu Aug 14 2003 01:25 PM
. * * Re: low level center Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 14 2003 02:21 PM
. * * Re: low level center andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:46 AM
. * * 60 mph gust Alex   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:31 PM
. * * Re: 60 mph gust Brad In Mia mi   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:35 PM
. * * What's your guess CocoaBeach   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:31 PM
. * * Re: What's your guess Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida mp3reed   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Ray   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida caneman   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida RBL   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida PFSThunder   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:28 PM
. * * Some Answers Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Some Answers Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:02 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida squirralee   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Jamie-on-dabyu   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida lisagolias   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida clyde w.   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida clyde w.   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:17 PM
. * * interesting Robert   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:25 PM
. * * New center or MLC? Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:02 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:37 AM
. * * someone have a link please LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:57 AM
. * * Palm Bay Florida report Floridacane   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Mary K.   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:40 AM
. * * Saint Cloud PFSThunder   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Saint Cloud PFSThunder   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report javlin   Thu Aug 14 2003 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report caneman   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Palm Bay Florida report Lisa NC   Thu Aug 14 2003 11:08 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:10 AM
. * * Re: New center or MLC? andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:38 AM
. * * Thanks Robert... bobbi   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve-unplugged   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:26 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... BillD   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... LadyStorm   Thu Aug 14 2003 05:11 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:06 AM
. * * since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:17 AM
. * * Re: since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:11 PM
. * * Re: since when does a 1.5 rate a designation? met   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... 57497479   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... JustMe   Thu Aug 14 2003 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... stormchazer   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:14 AM
. * * Port St. Lucie, Florida report Hurric   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Port St. Lucie, Florida report Ray   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:52 AM
. * * Closed circulation Bill   Thu Aug 14 2003 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Port St. Lucie, Florida report LoisCane   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... andy1tom   Thu Aug 14 2003 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve H.   Thu Aug 14 2003 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Thanks Robert... Steve   Thu Aug 14 2003 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Interesting note Jim M   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:21 PM
. * * Hey Jamie... Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida squirralee   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 14 2003 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Justin in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:50 PM
. * * Heh. Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida HanKFranK   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rad   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:07 PM
. * * bigger picture HanKFranK   Wed Aug 13 2003 08:47 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:40 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:05 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture JustMe   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:19 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 10:39 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture stormchazer   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:02 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture k___g   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:07 PM
. * * Re: bigger picture caneman   Wed Aug 13 2003 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida javlin24   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rich B   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:18 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Rich B   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:02 PM
. * * Tropical System Approaches South Florida WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida BillD   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM
. * * Recon?? ShawnS   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Recon?? TROPIC KING   Wed Aug 13 2003 07:36 PM
. * * Yeah I noticed it... Steve-Unplugged   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Yeah I noticed it... Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:44 PM
. * * I got off my lazy butt and logged in... Steve   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:41 PM
. * * Re: I got off my lazy butt and logged in... GATOR   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Will from Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Tropics Guy   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Jim M   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Steve H.   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:23 PM
. * * Dvorak Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Will from Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical System Approaches South Florida Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:12 PM
. * * Winds Increasing Along The Gold Coast WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Winds Increasing Along The Gold Coast The Saints   Wed Aug 13 2003 05:15 PM
. * * Thank You Ed.. love the new room/board bobbi   Wed Aug 13 2003 04:09 PM

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