91L hasn't changed much during the day, it appears to be two areas of convection, one more dominant than the other, that may merge or combine into something later. This fact right now is keeping it about the same today, so development chances probably will remain around 30-40% at 8PM.
The models are suggesting that it approaches the Leeward Islands, and later Puerto Rico. Those along the northeast and northern Caribbean will want to keep a close eye on it. Assuming it moves north of the Caribbean, odds are still in favor of recurving before approaching the Bahamas/United States. The trough forecast is really too strong for it to miss, the only way it could slip under is if it were to remain weak.
I'll be watching it the long haul though, regardless.
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