Long term on 91L is still interesting, the Euro model slams the wave into Hispaniola and destroys it, or more correctly splits it, if that happens it'll likely move the moisture toward Florida, but without the storm along with it, while another piece goes out over the Bahamas and out.
The GFS has it over northeastern puerto rico then staying to the northeast of the Bahamas, and in prime area for recurve.
Most of the other models have it going over or near Puerto Rico, a few of them keep it more westerly into Hispaniola, a few keep it away. But models generally agree until about the time it approaches Puerto Rico.
If it does approach Hispaniola it will likely get ripped apart, if it stays northeast or just over puerto rico and heads into the Altantic, it most likely recurves. If it stays south,it's likely to continue westward for a while. HRWF keeps it northeast of the Islands the entire time
The near/over Puerto Rico and recurve appears to be the most likely based on conditions, second most likely is slamming into Hispaniola, least likely is for it to stay south of the islands and continue west.
As for Bahama/US impact, chances are against it, but if it were to split the difference between Hispaniola/PR, then it possibly could, but this is not likely.
Personally, I'd lean toward the further south scenario (probably staying in the Caribbean perhaps the entire time), especially if development doesn't happen today which despite the front page title (which isn't just me) we put up, I think may hold off. However, If it gets up close to PR though and up through there, I see way more things keeping it away from the US than things that bring it closer. That trough is just going to be too much.
I don't expect it to bother the east coast US based on what I see right now.
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