Wow...one of the more confusing situations that I remember seeing in recent years. From satellite imagery, it really looks like the Eastern half of the wave has developed into a TC of some kind, whether depression or storm, who knows. One important thing to notice is that the wave (or two halves) still seem to be moving west, right along 15N (maybe slightly south of the line). This, as others have said, pretty much throws the models out for now. Even though recon won't be going out until Monday morning, I have a feeling the weather stations in the islands will provide enough data for them to pull the trigger on it.
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