I think the models still pretty much hold for the developing Tropical Cyclone (the true 91L or the eastern half). They seemed to have analyzed the approx. location of the developing center of circulation pretty well with the 18z runs. I don't see this system moving north of Hispaniola, though. My guess is that it could very well run aground if it moves over Hispaniola in a few days as a couple models suggest. It'll be interesting to see what happens, that's for sure.
-------------------- 2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01
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