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Archives >> 2011 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 370
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing
      Sun Jul 31 2011 10:15 PM

I took a look at NHC's position and the CIMMS Wnd Shear Analysis; at 31/2345Z the position of 13.5N 53.0W is directly under the 200/300 mb Upper Ridge. As you move west along the upper ridge axis located along 14N latitude winds are 15 knots from the south and along 16N latitude winds aloft increase to near 30 knots from the southwest. A wind surge may be construed as a gust front; outflow boundary from thunderstorms. Overland we have what are called gravity waves...rapid pressure falls creating gradience behind convective complexes which make for some very strong wind conditions followed by rapid pressure increases and winds return to calm/normal. Someone who is more versed with tropical weather may know more about this phenomena than I. This is a broad area and I wouldn't be surprised like Tip mentioned multiple surface & mid-level vortices...a big mess; I agree. In regards to the north bias the models are running it may be in response to the deeping east coast USA longwave trough in the days ahead. There's simply no way to know in the here and now how much amplification there will be of this trough into the tropics.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"To work in the service of life and the living..." - John Denver

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Large Wave East of Caribbean Looking Better this Morning MikeCAdministrator Sun Jul 31 2011 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Emily danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Emily Joeyfl   Mon Aug 01 2011 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Emily Joeyfl   Mon Aug 01 2011 06:49 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Emily danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Geography and Other Things MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Geography and Other Things MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 06:16 PM
. * * Geography and Other Things Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Depression WeatherNut   Mon Aug 01 2011 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Depression danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Depression MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Depression Hawkeyewx   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Depression Rich B   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Depression Bloodstar   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Depression metwannabe   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:22 PM
. * * Depression danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion adam s   Mon Aug 01 2011 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion scottsvb   Mon Aug 01 2011 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion Hawkeyewx   Mon Aug 01 2011 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion scottsvb   Mon Aug 01 2011 02:21 PM
. * * Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 01:47 PM
. * * Tropical Forecast Discussion danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 01:39 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing doug   Mon Aug 01 2011 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Hawkeyewx   Mon Aug 01 2011 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing scottsvb   Mon Aug 01 2011 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing adam s   Mon Aug 01 2011 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing MichaelA   Mon Aug 01 2011 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing metwannabe   Mon Aug 01 2011 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing berrywr   Sun Jul 31 2011 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing typhoon_tip   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing renka   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR Rich B   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Great discussion out of PR danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 02:33 PM
. * * Great discussion out of PR LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing scottsvb   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing WesnWylie   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing Hugh   Sun Jul 31 2011 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 07:36 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow typhoon_tip   Sat Jul 30 2011 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 09:22 AM

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