StormsFury posted that on S2K and it caught my attention. Apparently the former LLC is lunch for the ULL, and the convection has decided to coalesce (or however you spell it) around the 26th parallel. Long term implications potentially involve anyone south of Galveston come Saturday or Sunday. I still like the idea of a South Texas hit, but a Central Texas hit certainly isn't out of the question at all. As to intensity? I wouldn't bet against 91L making it to hurricane strength, but again, the key is the influence and movement of the ULL which stayed stronger than earlier predicted by model data.
Bastardi finally got on line and made a from the road post. "The question is how much and I suspect to at least a cat one, probably a cat2, and worst case, well its mid August a big ridge to the north and warm water..you do the math. Land fall is Saturday I think between 24 and 27 north which means yes I am aiming it more toward deep south Texas".
His previous columns seemed to be more indicating a Mexico hit though he hadn't come out and said it. I wasn't buying the pronounced SW turn the earlier modeling indicated (or what the A98E is at 00Z).
Cluster of storms just east of the islands kind of look another innocuous wave that could gain some energy once past 70W. We'll have to wait and see. It's kind of far south, so I don't know if it's just some convection for South America or if it becomes a player down the road.
And speaking of players, yeah, we died when Brooks refused to admit his shoulder injury was as severe as it was. He did fine in beating Tampa Bay, but that's all he had left. As for Louisiana vs Florida in 2002, here are the facts. I'm not counting minor programs like ULL, ULM, NW State, Grambling, Southern or NLU nor am I counting FIU, UCF, USF, FL A&M or other minor Division I (or 1A, II or III schools), and Tulane didn't play any FL schools this year, but it went down like this:
09/08/02 - 26-20 Saints over Tampa Bay (in Tampa)
12/01/02 - 23-20 Saints over Tampa Bay
10/12/02 - 31-7 LSU over Florida (at the Swamp)
So the way I see it, we went 3-0. Indeed, Florida football doesn't come close to what we play here in Louisiana .
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