Most models have shifted back to the west overnight, with the TCVN being very close, but still offshore of Florida. The motion of the storm has been a bit faster west than forecast (but not much), so it is likely for the westward trend to happen again. In short, the forecast cone looks pretty good for verifying right now. The system is still relatively weak right now, though. Not sure if the low level and mid levels are aligned right now, the low level center may be leading the convection to the west.
At 5 AM The hurricane center adjusted the near term forecast a bit west (to miss more of Hispaniola) since some models keep it very weak, but long term is about the same (slightly east). Overall odds still very slightly favor a recurve before the US coast, however.
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