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11 dissipates, Leslie Forms unlikely to affect US. Kirk will need to be watched in the Caribbean (but likely to remain weak).
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Florence) , Major: 368 (Maria) Florida - Any: 378 (Irma) Major: 378 (Irma)
Rem Eleven
ADV#7 11:00 am EDT
14.5N 56.0W
Wind: 25MPH
Pres: 1009mb
Moving:
W at 12 mph
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TS Kirk
ADV#6 5:00 pm EDT
9.5N 32.3W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
W at 23 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
subTS Leslie
ADV#2 5:00 pm EDT
33.5N 47.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1002mb
Moving:
W at 3 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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Archives 2010s >> 2011 Forecast Lounge
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 857
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Emily Forecast Lounge
      Tue Aug 02 2011 12:05 PM

Quote:

Models are still a mess today, but some of them like the GFDL, HWRF, TVCN are showing a very sharp east motion at the end of the curve. That's a possible sign of a cyclonic loop, ie the storm does a big loop and heads back west, ala Jeanne from 2004. (It does not mean this will occur, in fact, it likely will not, but similar models signs showed for it back then as a indicator).

The overall mass is still moving west, but the center seems to be reforming, causing the stationary report.

The latest sat loop pics seem to be indicating a more due West movement. If that trend continues and the large scale patterns don't evolve, then Emily could stay South of Hispaniola. That's just my conjecture at the moment. Still waiting for the 12Z model runs.

--------------------
Michael
2018 Actual: 10/5/1

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 02 2011 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola doug   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola shew   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola hogrunr   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola stormtiger   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola hogrunr   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Wingman51   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola M.A.   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Hurric   Sat Aug 06 2011 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola LoisCane   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 08:34 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola B_from_NC   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 04:21 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge weathernet   Tue Aug 02 2011 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Tue Aug 02 2011 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Tue Aug 02 2011 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Tue Aug 02 2011 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Aug 02 2011 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Tue Aug 02 2011 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge Ed in Va   Tue Aug 02 2011 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 02 2011 06:14 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge tpratch   Tue Aug 02 2011 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave (Invest 91L) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 29 2011 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave (Invest 91L) Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave (Invest 91L) Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave (Invest 91L) MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 29 2011 08:19 AM
. * * Invest 91L Becoming Better Organized cieldumort   Fri Jul 29 2011 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Wave Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 30 2011 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 07:31 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Aug 01 2011 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge MichaelA   Mon Aug 01 2011 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge metwannabe   Mon Aug 01 2011 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge weathernet   Mon Aug 01 2011 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Emily Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Aug 01 2011 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge Joeyfl   Mon Aug 01 2011 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jul 31 2011 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge hogrunr   Sun Jul 31 2011 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 31 2011 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 01 2011 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge WesnWylie   Sun Jul 31 2011 06:02 PM

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