While still weak the outflow is impressive for a storm that has yet to find a true center to wrap around. She's got a small window to gain some strength before running into plenty of obstacles in the form of dry air, plus mountains. Looks 50/50 to me... I still think she has much chance as falling completely apart as she does spinning up into a stronger TS. The factors for intensification are there, just too sloppy near the core to make it happen right now.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05)
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