Was looking at the model loop from the past day or so. It nicely shows the models flipping back and forth a bit from east to west. If I have the general idea correct, a stronger Emily is more likely to recurve up the east coast and miss everything but the Bahamas, while a weaker storm may hedge more to the west, keeping Florida in the game. So if Hispanola weakens her, does the track shift back west and why don't the models predict this? Or do I have it all wrong?
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