The GFS now takes Emily further to the east. Of far more interest is that the movement in the past 6 hours has been just about due west at 12 knots. Water vapor indicates about 9 degrees of separation between the base of the trough and the center of the tropical storm - and that is still quite a bit. The trough may dig a little further south, but not much. The NHC forecast places the center of Emily onshore the Dominican Republic in about 19 hours - which is going to be a bit of a stretch if the western motion continues tonight. ED
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