You have the odd "split" item off Emily to it's west that's never really left keeping it weak, Hispaniola to the north perhaps creating a mini ridge (the mountains) keeping it more westerly. And a very stubborn low level circulation center, and you have a situation that still cloudy.
Even though the westerly solution has been at the back of my mind for a long time, the official forecast insists on it turning north. I cannot second guess those at the NHC, they have amazing talent and resources, so there is something to that track. It may be the smaller scale influence from Hispaniola keeping the northern inflow weak, and possibly system moving west, and maybe even nudge Emily around the island.
I don't see Emily dying out, it may weaken, but dying out seems unlikely at this point.
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