Latest visibles and infared satellite shots show the center nearing Hispanola and with that a lot of dry air being sucked in towards the center of circulation. In fact it appears to me that in the latest infrared frame a significant amount of dry air is coming right off the mountains of Haiti.
I think the northward "climb" has begun finally and emily will move into the Mona straights, but only as a depression. After that a more northward turn is likely in response to the weakness shown on water vapor well East of the Florida peninsula.
I think Emily is going to be a non-event except for the flooding rains that Haiti does not need. Haiti will be pounded with this slow moving storm for quite awhile.
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