I believe the GFS and the Euro both are of major conccern for the US.
But there is plenty of time to watch and observe.
So far it is August 19th and we have had no hurricanes; yet we have had 7 named storms. That is not likely to change in the near term.
The average date for the first hurricane is Aug. 14th. While we have had a lot of storms the birth of the first hurricane will in all probability be a week late maybe more.
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