Based on the current track. 97L should encounter 29C SST's near 49W. Or late tomorrow. Four of the 7 Intensity models bring the storm to Tropical Storm at that time. Using the 18Z models from today. Thursday. Ocean heat content doubles at the 49W longitude. From the current < 25 KJcm-2 to > 50 KJcm-2.
Super long range models are varied. From landfall in the Galveston,Tx area back to the east including the Florida Panhandle. I've only checked the GFSLR and ECMWF..
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